68 649 000 surfere kan ikke ta feil

Åkei, man skal ta all statistikk med en kilo salt, men man kan jo more seg litt over at det kanskje stemmer. OneStat.com mener at Mozilla-baserte nettlesere har kommet opp i 7,35% på verdensbasis.

"7,35% av hva", tenkte jeg. Etter litt Googling kom jeg frem til denne artikkelen, der det hevdes at Internetts "befolkning" ligger på 934 millioner. Det er såpass lenge siden jeg hørte at 500 millioner ble passert, så at det skal ligge på 934 millioner nå virker ikke helt usannsynlig.

Et kjapt regnestykke viser dermed at det finnes 68 649 000 mennesker som benytter en Mozilla-basert nettleser. Prosentandelene kan gjerne virke lave, men når man gjør det om til ekte tall blir det litt mer futt i det. 68,6 millioner er faktisk flere brukere enn Netscape hadde i starten av sin storhetstid på 90-tallet. Da Microsoft i 1996 planla hvordan de skulle "stjele" markedet fra Netscape satte de 30% som et mål for hvor mange brukere de måtte ha for at nettsteder ikke kunne ignorere de. Omgjort til antall har Mozilla passert dette for lengst. Med så mange brukere kan ikke nettsteder ignorere denne gruppen – man må rett og slett ha støtte for Mozilla-baserte nettlesere for å unngå å støte fra seg et stort antall potensielle kunder.

Med den raske veksten vi har hatt nå, fra 2,1% til 7,35% siden mai i år, vil det ikke overraske meg om vi passerer 10% tidlig neste år. Da snakker vi om en av ti brukere. Det er langt forbi det jeg noengang trodde vi ville kunne oppnå.

En kilo salt? Selvsagt, men det er ikke nødvendigvis avgjørende hvor mange brukere det faktisk er, men hvor mange brukere utviklerne tror det er, slik at de ikke bruker IE-spesifikk funksjonalitet. Statistikk fra nettsteder som W3Schools og Browser News tyder forresten på at utviklere er positivt innstilt til Mozilla allerede.

Dette innlegget ble publisert i Ukategorisert. Bokmerk permalenken.

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